Our meteorologists analyzed a range of factors – including ENSO (La Niña/El Niño) patterns, climate models, sea surface temperatures, and other information to develop their 2014 Summer Weather Outlook.
“Last summer, the U.S. experienced above-normal temperatures from Texas across the Rockies to the West Coast, with drought from Texas across the Rockies into southern California,” says Senior Meteorologist James Aman. “For this summer, we see a number of climate factors lining up, pointing to increased chances for above-normal temperatures from Texas and the Southern Plains, across the southwest U.S., and over the entire West Coast. Meanwhile, near-normal temperatures are favored for the East Coast, and below-normal temperatures are favored in the Great Lakes and Northern Plains. In terms of rainfall, much of the nation is favored to have near-normal precipitation, but that will not be enough to break the drought in California and Texas. We will also be watching a developing El Niño that could impact the U.S. later this summer and into fall and winter.”